Essay Abstract

Predictability is a measure of the degree of precision to which we describe and ascribe Phenomena in Physical systems. I propose and discuss how Anthropic Selection Bias is Non Trivial and places conceptual limitations to what we can ever or will ever know about the universe -"The elephant in the room".

Author Bio

Michael Muteru is a Kenyan physicist,a seven time essayist on fqxi. My passion is exploring the unknown to come up with new knowledge -expanding frontiers.I love farming and seeking out solutions for common human problems through physics.

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Respected Professor Michael Muteru,

Your excellent and well studied words about BIAS are........... WHAT IS A BIAS? A Bias is a Tendency by an arbitrating Authority to lean towards a particular inclination when confronted with options / choices in decision making. The decision, thus made is a product of bias. ...........

So bias should be the dominating point in any science is it not ? So what should be the Philosophy of scientific theory, should be unbiased is it not?

Something very similar I discussed in my essay " A properly deciding, Computing and Predicting new theory's Philosophy " which is about Dynamic Universe Model.

I hope you can spare some of your valuable time there.........

Best Regards

=snp

    "Is the Planck length really the shortest unit of length in the universe?" How might the concept of "the shortest unit of length in the universe" be tested? Near the Planck scale, do the concepts of time, length, and energy fail and need to be somehow replaced?

    According to Seiberg, space and time might be "emergent concepts" that "will appear as approximate semiclassical notions in the macroscopic world."

    "Emergent Spacetime" by Nathan Seiberg, 2006, arXiv

    Dear Michael Muteru,

    Nice, intriguing and provocative Essay. Here are some comments:

    1) You wrote: "A Bias is a Tendency by an arbitrating Authority to lean towards a particular inclination when confronted with options / choices in decision making. The decision, thus made is a product of bias." This is what I call "politics". Science, as well as every other human activity, is dominated by "politics". This is the most important message of your Essay. Regrettably, I agree with it, despite, fortunately, this does not imply that the current mainstream science is completely wrong. I think, instead, that it globally works.

    2) I liked your discussion on quantum physics.

    3) You wrote: "We sort of inhabit the middle of a Bubble-Our Hubble volume". This is only partially correct. In fact, not only the universe is Expanding outwards from us, but it is also expanding from every other point of it! This is the meaning of homogeneity and isotropy. Thus, every point of the universe inhabits the middle of a Bubble-Our Hubble volume.

    In any case, you deserves an high score that I am going to give you. Good luck in the Contest.

    Cheers, Ch.

      thanks Sara Gupta. will surely Review your work. all the best

      Dear Michael,

      I entirely agree with your basic position! The universe is that universe only FOR US and not even NOTHING otherwise.

      But the search for the holy grail and the THING-IN-ITSELF has ever fascinated people...

      best regards,

      Heinz

      Michael,

      Thanks for your kind remarks re my essay. You provide some interesting, though-provoking concepts regarding anthropic selection bias. I agree that there are limits imposed by our perception, but they are limits that we must overcome with thinking out of the box, so to speak. We should always be aware of confirmation bias in all realms of living. Even your reference of brain neurons working in up to 11 dimensions uses algebraic topology to show how structures in the brain react when information is processed. Being human tools and methodology, we should always have a healthy skepticism of such findings as well.

      Liked your essay. We seem to agree on several points.

      Regards,

      Jim

      Thank you for reading my essay. You wrote very nice essay. I am giving you the best rating,Best wishes to your essay. I hope you will try to rate my essay too

      Best

      =snp.gupta

      Dear Micheal Muteru,

      You asked me today (04:44 GMT) to read your essay and give my opinion about the contents. Well, it is a meaningful essay, very interesting, and I agree with "the message". Nevertheless I have to think a bit longer about the subject because it is an intriguing point of view. Good luck with the contest!

      With kind regards, Sydney

      i could not follow all your arguments , only the first tree pages, ( i like that you have used diagrams :)

      Dear Michael Muteru

      I read your well conceptualized essay with interesting pictures. I do not know much about quantum physics but to try not to have bias regarding this attitude of yours:

      "ThePauli Exclusion Principle of the Dogmatic Quantum Mechanical principle that states that two or more identical fermions cannot occupy the same Quantum state within a Quantum System simultaneously."

      What do you think: it is because in fermion the loop is complete and in bosons it is not?

      You deserve a good rate.

      Regards,

      Branko

      Dear Michel Muteru,

      i rated your essay a 10. It is perfect.

      Personally, i expect to get more and more very negative ratings for my work, because my theory works like this:

      There are 7.000.0000.000 scientist on the world

      6.999.999.999 scientist claim that pi = 3,14............. and are looking for a solution

      Then the try to step ahead and find that..

      pi = ? (free of choice pi = 1 or 50 or 887,324234)

      So best we agree that Pi = many worlds (we know that we were wrong, but now we know that we all were wrong and the solution could be

      all together we are united if we agree that everyone can have its own pi.

      No i come along and have to claim.. sorry to disturb you, but pi =1

      There is no choice. (There is a special mathematical (geometry) proof for this)

      pi / pi = pi pi =1

      So i am right and 6.999.999.999 scientist are wrong. That makes most of all person very uncomfartable as i claim to be on top of all of you :-)

      The covid-19 game (Matrix 4) is: Finding Patient Zero....

      (Only one single person is able to do the job to be Patient Zero)

      Best regards and all the best for the contest.

      Manfred

      You wrote: "Bias is also a principle along which a choice is made instinctively out of an array of options. It's thus a Best fit model of reality that suits the Observer's preferences. The observer's brain by default may thus impose this model of Reality on virtually any new observation encountered, as a template to map out new landscapes."

      I certainly agree with your fundamental premise, which is that what we perceive as reality (our Weltanschauung, if you will) is skewed by our biases about reality. However, this raises the same question that Immanuel Kant raised, which is how do we know the thing in itself?

      You present an interesting perspective on this. I wish you well in the contest.

      Dear Michael,

      Thank you for reading my essay and commenting. As to your system, it looks like one more way to look at QM in general. Thanks again.

        Dear Professor Michael Muteru,

        I had read your essay, and found your emphasis on the role of human cognition, and the resulting anthropic bias thought provoking!

        Godspeed on this contest, and again thanks for having read my work.

        Kind Regards,

        Raiyan Reza