Hi Georgina,

Thanks for your comments, and may I say I found your essay also very interesting and attention-holding from start to finish; but I already commented.

On Ukraine, I realized I was playing with dynamite (to say the least), but I fully understand and respect the point of view you express, which is widely but far from unanimously held in Russia and Crimea. I don't think we have an accurate read on the latter, certainly not from Putin's claim of "97%"; pre-crisis polls showed less than majority support for union with Russia. However, I also noted in my essay that the annexation was achieved nearly bloodlessly, in comparison with US actions since 1990 and especially since 2001. So, yes, there are different aspects and views of this. You should understand, also, that lots of Americans believed, and many still do, that Iraq and Afghanistan were justified, even necessary. They have their reasons for that, just as Russians have theirs for believing there was something more important at stake than world peace.

best reasonable wishes,

Mark

Mark --

I'm glad to find another essay in the contest on communication, and yours is excellent. Both successes and failures of communication have always been central to the evolution of our species, and you give a very good overview of our situation as it stands today. I like your summary of the problem:

"Even the most lucid speech requires some effort of the listener... one cannot make stones understand merely by speaking very clearly. So I want to suggest a more general understanding of Babel as the failure of communication, or of community itself... entwined with conflict, anger, arrogance and impatience, as well as distance and cognitive limits."

My own essay tries to provide some historical and conceptual background on this issue. We very easily take it for granted that we know pretty much how human communication works -- after all, this is technology we all use all the time, even when we're just talking to ourselves. But it's only in the last century that we've begun to recognize the depth and many-layered complexity of human connection. I argue that this "rediscovery" of communication is related to the emergence of electronic media, and that the cultural impact of these media is only beginning to be felt today.

Your "tentatively hopeful conclusion" is very reasonable. If you haven't already, you might look at Ray Luechtefeld's essay, which is also very good, dealing with a kind of AI support for collective understanding. I see you've already commented on Sabine Hossenfelder's essay.

Unfortunately it seems almost inevitable that "super-intelligent systems" will be controlled by the only entities capable of creating such things, namely global corporations and (not to sound too cynical), the governments they also more or less control. On the other hand, I think it's possible that the decentralized kinds of communication we now see in a fairly trivial form in "social media" might turn out to play a powerful role in transforming global culture. Our future may possibly be less dependent on what large institutions and super-powerful computers can do for us, than on what we learn to do with and for each other, given these newly-emerging dimensions of connectivity.

Thanks for a fine piece of work -- Conrad

Dear Mark,

Glad to see your reply. Although your saying as "preserving the Nature from which we came" is beyond the scope of this forum otherwise I would demanded for a proof! Your name as "Mark" has its root from the Bible you claimed as the book of wisdom. Many atheists I know hardly make reference to Bible as their basis of philosophy but your theory and even the name revolve round that book of wisdom. Anyway back to business!

I wish to read your comments on my article. It will ever refresh minds even after this contest is all over. However comments without rating will not complete. I anticipate you. http://fqxi.org/community/forum/topic/2020

Wishing you the very best in this competition.

Regards

Gbenga

Dear Mark,

Good analysis. Of course the same bible that tells of Babel does predict much later the emergence of what it calls an impostor. Now assume for a while that the LORD in the Babel story foresaw and was actually trying to prevent the emergence of an impostor/AGI. So now when it does finally come (as you hope and the bible predicts) then are we confronted with the real danger of an actual operational pseudo "LORD". This in my opinion is the moral of the Babel story; the Lord (authentic) which did scatter Babel must remain the Lord absolute. I see this as the reign of uncertainty principle as against the reign of an entity i.e. authority principle.

I see any authority principle (e.g. AGI) ultimately as a hidden variable theory and the "lord authentic" as the core uncertainty principle (of which we individuals must remain the prime example for it said somewhere "in the image of God made He man..." and in another place also speaking to man it says: "ye are gods".

The Lord at Babel does not pretend to be an ontology. Just as the today the uncertainty principle of quantum physics does not pretend (a la Copenhagen) to be an ontology. And I have actually tried to show that man is his own very uncertainty/quantum.

I agree with you that the fundamental question about AIG is, "Who will control it? If governments, corporations, and wealthy individuals determine the use of super-intelligent systems, they will likely use them as instruments of warfare and competition. Worse, if technological systems themselves are allowed to be in control, they may do things no human being would choose."

Of course they were made in the first place (even according to you) to do things no human being could do!

Really the question is: by what extent is this prospect avoidable anymore?

I will appreciate your candid critique of Between Uncertainty and Entity .

Regards,

Chidi

LOL! It's no insult, that's for sure.

Best,

Tom

P.S., I will use the following rating scale to rate the essays of authors who tell me that they have rated my essay:

10 - the essay is perfection and I learned a tremendous amount

9 - the essay was extremely good, and I learned a lot

8 - the essay was very good, and I learned something

7 - the essay was good, and it had some helpful suggestions

6 - slightly favorable indifference

5 - unfavorable indifference

4 - the essay was pretty shoddy and boring

3 - the essay was of poor quality and boring

2 - the essay was of very poor quality and boring

1 - the essay was of shockingly poor quality and extremely flawed

After all, that is essentially what the numbers mean.

The following is a general observation:

Is it not ironic that so many authors who have written about how we should improve our future as a species, to a certain extent, appear to be motivated by self-interest in their rating practices? (As evidence, I offer the observation that no article under 3 deserves such a rating, and nearly every article above 4 deserves a higher rating.)

12 days later

PS - I predicted correctly, though it's still underrated. I'll be rating it myself, Mark (and all the others on my review list) some time between now and May 30. Thanks again for reviewing my own essay. All the best, and bye for now, - Mike

Mark, very interesting, well researched essay. Very believable perspective on AI.

Thank you for writing your essay!

Brent Pfister

Happy Path

Mark,

The Babel problem stands out in solving the climate change problems, especially considering the different perspectives of developed and developing countries. Then as you point out, there is the technology and who controls it. For an advanced country, the US has not set a very good example regarding technology's use, choosing war and competition.

Like you I speak of the common good, serving interests of all. My essay speaks of monolithic corporations focusing on their own agendas rather than that of common good and a viable future. "Looking beyond" orthodox science and "within," using th e minds capabilities, a sort of neural universe, are my solutions.

I would like to see your comments on my essay.

Jim

    • [deleted]

    Mark,

    Great essay and important points, well made. I vastly agree that communication is horrendously poor. As an Englishman I also consider English an often poor and incomplete language for science. When we understand nature the vocabulary will surely be vastly different. But you rightly point out that even in the SAME language we rarely understand each other. I also think we're in danger of loosing different 'cultures' of thinking. The far eastern/african view is far less self-centric than the western so I think has greater potential.

    I pointed out last year that not only are we but every 'thing' is different, so a fundamental error in understanding nature is forgetting that. I've also suggested that our disparity it at once our greatest strength as well as greatest weakness. Do you agree?

    You deal well with AI, which I think may further entrench us in the scientific and academic dogma's which as you say; "are infamous for suppressing new thought." I agree Academia is a highly flawed cradle for advancement. (My own essay agrees and explores an escape from such thinking.) This competition shows you correct that;

    "People disagree, often violently, about which way the good lies, what it looks like, and how to get there. the mother of all problems, the most difficult for humanity to tackle and the one that we must overcome if we are to have any hope of solving other problems." There is great reliance on maths as a language, which I think massively detracts from rational intelligent analysis and problem solving.

    Very well done. Good score coming. My own essay addresses the issue in showing that with freer thinking methods the most confusing of science can be understood coherently by all. Fundamental advances in understanding nature have always driven our own route ahead. I suggest what holds us back is belief in dogma.

    Very well done. I hope you may perhaps get to read and score mine, written as an allegorical tale, by the deadline.

    Best wishes

    Peter

      Mark,

      That was me, logged out without telling me again. Not much AI!

      Peter

      Dear Mark Gubrud

      I have one association on your essay. Namely, I think that we speak different languages and we do not understand each other also because we do not have answers on fundamental questions of physics. We cannot explain consciousness, and this causes distinct ideologies and religions about life after death and about sense of life. Besides the physics, mathematics and logic known today could be bases of some more perfect language.

      It is interesting to follow some discussions on internet, where laymans of physics wish to promote their ideas such as superluminal speed of light, perpetuum mobile, and similarly. It is evident that knowledge of physics could help to harmonize these disagreements. But, a lot of time is necessary to learn physics, to overcome prejudices and to harmonize this language. But, a physics is not presented so simple that it could be and this is a cause of lot of quarrels on internet forums.

      On the other side, all physics is not yet explained and professional physicists are claimant for knowledge which they do not have. For instance, consciousness is not yet explained. Although its source are brains, this can means anything, my old essay. Probably also other questions of fundamental physics will maybe obtain different answers, as we expect.

      But not only knowledge of physics directly, ethics is also important at internet forums ...

      My essay

      Best regards

      Janko Kokosar

      Mark,

      Having had rating problems with my Firefox browser and with some 5 days remaining, I am revisiting essay I've read to see if rated. I find that I rated yours on 5/26.

      Would like to see your comments on mine: http://www.fqxi.org/community/forum/topic/2008.

      Jim

      Hello Mr. M. A. Gubrud,

      This is Margarita Iudin.

      I just read your essay. It is O' K, except it is not my topic. You ask what is the greatest problem (there are so many of them - here I agree with you). Sorry, those problems are not that kind of the problems that if you know them you can solve them.

      1. I did not understand why you have decided to speak about Babel. Babel symbolizes lots of the things at once. Do you know how many positive meanings and influences biblical Babel and historical Babel (Nineveh?) have ? Do you against the urban culture? If yes, what you do about it?

      2. I recommend you to read Plato to find out what he thinks about the mob (read, the nature of human mob) of Athens.

      3. O' K, it is not my topic. I read somewhere your comments. It appears that you are the person who knows the difference between the power distribution (law) and normal Gaussian distribution (law). Very well.

      I have a serious problem to find the contest entrants that will be able to understand my essay (James A Putnam, Wesley Wayne Hansen, ??)..

      May I ask you, when you have time, to read my essay

      Imagining the future humanity

      at http://fqxi.org/community/forum/topic/2096

      Among other things it is about the analogous imagining and applications of the analogous imagining - in my essay I draw on analogies that you may find interesting.

      Good luck,

      M Iudin

      By the way, I am a Jew and a meta-physicist.

      Plato said that there were too much I oncewhetehr am very suscpicious about people and I like it even though I do not agree with your choice to apply statistical mechanics (basically, statistical mechanics is a branch of applied math; if you remember Ludwig Boltzmann lectured on applied math) and thermodynamics (thermodynamics is a kind of empirical physical science) to development of humanity.

      As local control can be anything, the strong definition is required. And if you try to make the definition, you will find yourself in trouble.

      I am curious about your usage of the high school and college physics - do you think people understood what they had learned (in school)?

      I do not rank you essay (I think it should be 4 or 5) not to bring your current rank down. Still your essay is one of the best I read here. I like Mr. Putnam's (though I do not agree with him as well) and several more.

      I have a serious problem to find those contest entrants that would be able to understand my essay (James A Putnam, Wesley Wayne Hansen, ??)..

      If you have time, please read my essay Imagining the future humanity

      at http://fqxi.org/community/forum/topic/2096

      Among other things it is about the analogous imagining and applications of the analogous imagining - in my essay I draw on analogies that you may find interesting.

      Good luck,

      M Iudin

      Actually, I have a working experience in the chip design, writing OS for stand alone processors, in thermodynamics (laboratory analysis of the thermodynamic parameters), and so on. As yourself, I am also a pro-system approach and like statistical mechanics and mathematical physics.

      5 months later

      How Should Humanity Steer the Futre is certainly an intringuing question but I think there is another question which is really urgent to answer:

      By what thing or principle is Humanity presently steered such that it produces the babel phenomenon so well described by Mark Gubrud?

      In other words the urgent question is: What is the ultimate cause of all violent conflicts in human society?

      Indentifying the ultimate cause of all violent conflicts will enable us to immediately identify the solution, which is precisely the logical negation of the ultimate cause of all conflicts.

      Ion

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