Tim Palmer,
Thanks for your detailed reply. I think I WAS a little confused about the difference between determinism and superdeterminism: thanks for explaining. However, you are still in effect saying that every single koala death by fire was pre-determined.
I will put the determinism issue another way, in terms of the problem of decidability: how we make decisions, and how we symbolically represent decision making. The issue is: what exactly do the symbols and numbers of physics represent, and what do the yellow blobs (Figure 3) represent, i.e. what is their deeper meaning? I have made various versions of the following case several times on the backreaction blogspot:
According to physics there are no IF...THEN.... algorithmic steps in the laws of nature, there are only lawful relationships that are representable by equations. Try to do IF...THEN... with equations. You can't. So according to deterministic physics, you CAN'T make decisions, you CAN'T learn from your mistakes, and you CAN'T be responsible for your actions.
Where are the models showing how IF...THEN... is done, using nothing but equations? IF...THEN... is about outcomes (the THEN... bit) that arise from logical analysis of situations (the IF... bit), but equations can't represent logical analysis. IF...THEN... is about non-deterministic outcomes, because logical analysis of situations is non-deterministic: there are no laws covering logical analysis. And you can't derive IF...THEN... from equations.
The point of what I'm saying is this: If physicists need to use IF...THEN... logical analysis to represent the world (e.g. your Figure 1), then they are assuming that there exists a logical aspect of the world that is not representable by deterministic equations, and not derivable from deterministic equations. Your idea is that the world is deterministic, but the fact that you need to use symbolic representations of logical analysis and logical steps to represent the world contradicts the idea that the world is deterministic.
(Please don't appeal to computer models. As a former computer programmer and analyst, I know that computers are 100% deterministic: they don't do IF...THEN... logical analysis. They deterministically process symbolic representations of IF...THEN... steps, which deterministically process symbolic representations of information.)