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Lorraine Ford However, all those individual jumps are closely related, due to omnipresent and multilevel interaction, and this permanent interaction changes the whole picture. Individual jumpers are always looking at each other's motions and asking questions, both about their individual jumps and the resulting general motion. Too often, it takes the form of occasional and superficial "consensus" of opinions and jumps (or "self-organization"), but other results are also possible, including more collective and less predictable jumps of progress or degradation. Today, on the background of lasting stagnation, we'd need a collective jump of progress, in science and elsewhere, but for the moment, it looks more like a quickly progressing degradation…
I agree that the clear definition of "positive" development tendency is absent in the conventional knowledge framework, while it becomes increasingly needed in the modern world of strong and large interactions, in particular as a basis for the missing progress. If we say that "positive" tendency is that of progress (understood as a general "better life"), it becomes somewhat less ambiguous, although still remains intuitive. A sustainable, lasting progress is a yet better explanation of "positive" tendency (when each "success" opens real possibilities for further successes). As to the truly rigorous definition of "positive" result or development tendency, or "progress", the causally complete description of unreduced interaction processes I defend leads to such definition in terms of optimal (the largest possible) growth of unreduced dynamic complexity (the latter also rigorously defined as interaction product diversity, if I try a verbal expression).