CharcoalMosquito Specifically, where we do have a disagreement is about ontology, that is, about the fundamental nature of reality that best explains the specific person-level phenomenology.... When I argue in favor of indeterminism, this is because an appeal to "could have done otherwise" that is supposed to do real explanatory work implicitly presupposes that the future is genuinely open to alternatives, and this kind of openness is also a requirement for us to even meaningfully talk about the possibility of reason-responsive control or selection among alternatives. And given that the most fundamental openness we currently know of is found at the micro scale, this is where our explanatory journey must start.
No – only if we first agree to your proposition that: GIVEN "the most fundamental openness" is only found at the indeterministic microscale, THEN your argument follows. But I don’t agree, of course, and this is just another example of your framing the argument to fit your stated conclusions regarding the need for microphysical indeterminism to allow free will.
'Futural openness' is fine by me, and as a phenomenologist by doctoral vocation I definitely come down on the side of human phenomenal experience being one of a "fundamental openness" to future possibilities – i.e., free will has real causal power at our human scale of experience. This phenomenological futurism is, I think, where "fundamental openness" resides, and not in your stochastic microphysical world. In fact, the whole free will debate devolves from the self-evidence of phenomenological free will (a fundamental definition) in order to then argue about how this apparent human-scale causal freedom is related to the physical reality external to our phenomenal world – this latter external reality being classical, Everettian or Bohmian determinism, or spontaneous-collapse indeterminism, etc.
So, given that "the most fundamental openness" we currently know of is found at the macroscale of phenomenal experience, this is where our explanatory journey must start. From this fundamental phenomenological view, then, we might define four senses of your 'futural openness':
- Stochastic openness – objective chance at the microscale (your 'fundamental openness')
- Metaphysical branching – many physically possible continuations “from here” (including both 'many worlds' as well as stochastic collapse interpretations)
- Epistemic openness – multiple live possibilities relative to what agents know/control (subjective free will)
- Agential openness – real difference-making macroscale conditional abilities, as in what would happen under reasons-responsive changes (compatibilist/interventionist)
I take it you're an 'open futurist' in the sense that you intuitively believe that an 'open future' must mean there is no predetermined reality about what will happen next – i.e., that our free will has real causal power (not merely the illusion of such) to effect change in the 'here and now' of phenomenal experience? Up to a point of course, as I take it you accept there are physical constraints on that futural openness whereby your 'choice of jacket to wear in the morning given present weather conditions' doesn't include infinite 'miracle jacket' possibilities: we live in a physical universe that constrains our free choices, and currently you have (x) actual jackets to choose from.
Now from the list 1–4 above, what do you think we need for real human agency? I think (3) is a given, as we at very least have to have the subjective experience of 'free will' otherwise there's nothing to debate about our causal freedom to choose. But (3) is agnostic as to whether that freedom is 'real' or just the 'illusion' of freedom, which is I think why some reductive physicalist arguments prefer to just stop here as in: "You're free to believe the illusion you have the freedom to choose".
I personally think the reductive physicalists do this mainly due to the difficulties of explaining just how microphysical determinism is actually physically related to macroscale causality beyond hand-waving about 'fundamental levels' vs 'emergent' thus supposedly dependent 'higher levels' etc. The causality has to be one-way for this reductive argument to work – from the 'underlying levels' to the 'emergent levels' above these – and I also think this 'level' speech indicates a metaphorical attachment to such a one-way causality. But we realist believers in human free will don't accept this as an argument for anything other than lazy thinking! Right?
So from (3) we then proceed to (4) and – ignoring any relation to indeterminism or determinism, or the fact it's a 'compatibilist' argument – I think everyone agrees that agency needs agential control mechanisms in order for agents to freely choose which jacket to wear in the morning. And again, that agential causal power can remain agnostic as to whether it's 'real' or 'illusory' WRT determinism vs indeterminism. At very least we can agree that agential causal powers appear to be real irrespective of whether you think reductive microphysical determinism makes them illusory or not. As you know, I subscribe to the notion that macro causal powers, as in an agent's control choices, actually do change the microphysical arrangement in their local environment. In fact I think that's a self-evident, macroscale phenomenal truth!
So now we get down to the nitty-gritty of 'freedom' with (2) and the branching possibilities facing anyone who is deciding what jacket to wear ... in your stochastic world the wave function is constantly collapsing possible outcomes down to one actual outcome via indeterministic objective chance, so any of the potential future outcomes remain indeterministically possible. OR, for the relative-state (Everett) view, all potential future outcomes occur, and no single outcome is selected globally. Each relative state branch observer experiences one definite outcome, and the Born rule supplies the agent’s subjective probabilities. And this is where I think we part company, because I really can't see how your position insisting on a stochastic universe is any different from Everettian determinism in terms of underwriting agential control or an 'open future'. Both ontologies posit many physically possible continuations “from here” WRT which jacket one might wear. And either ontology, deterministic MWI or indeterministic collapse, empirically yields the same Born-rule statistics for each observer’s experiences.
Which leaves a belief in (1) as being somehow 'fundamental' to human-scale causal powers about as unmotivated as a belief in MWI doing the same, because either way – given that both indeterministic collapse and Everettian determinism allow for the possibility of alternative future paths – neither can explain how an agent makes a choice between the possibilities. Which brings me back again to Dan Dennett's compatibilism – Indeterminism is neither necessary nor sufficient for control. Or put another way, indeterminate randomness adds variance but not guidance!
Your only recourse then is to double down and insist on your NO-MACRO axiom – in concert with reductive physicalists – that IF microphysical causality is a one-way street THEN agents in such a reductively deterministic world can't effect change, in accordance with their macroscale intentions and beliefs, on the quantum field excitations they and their environments are made of. This to me, is the most incoherent of positions – precisely what is it in your straw man reductive deterministic world view that actually makes it impossible for macroscale beings to effect change on their microscale environments via their reasons-responsive control mechanisms?
What exactly is your notion of 'freedom'?