Hi Ken,

What I meant when I was responding to Armin was not-so-much tongue-in-cheek (though I meant no offense) as it was trying to point out that the all-at-once paradigm doesn't make any sense to me when coupled with the concept of "updating." The former implies a singular while the latter implies a plural.

So here's the way I see it. What you could be saying is that we do an "all-at-once" analysis of the universe and then as we learn more information about it (both past and future) we continue to do so and thus "update" our information. In this way the underlying universe remains essentially "static" while our knowledge of the universe possesses an arrow of sorts (since we are gaining information about it). Now, I'm not particularly familiar with Matt's notion of contextuality and I'll have to do some digging into it, but from my own notion of contextuality there's a problem: the universe does *not* remain static. In other words, it is not always possible to deduce *past* states from future ones. It would seem that your argument does not address this issue.

Now, regarding the time-asymmetry issue, I disagree with Carroll, Penrose, et. al. Rather, I agree with Eddington who did not, necessarily, postulate new physics to explain this problem (he postulated new physics to address other issues). Eddington viewed the time-asymmetry question essentially entirely in terms of probabilities (actually, that's pretty much how he viewed everything). I really don't think it is that mysterious. The problem with the Carroll, Penrose, et. al. interpretation is that it assumes that the Standard Model is correct which in turn says that CPT-symmetry is inviolable. But there are notable problems with the Standard Model (it fails on a number of counts not the least of which is in relation to gravity). In addition, there is some evidence that CPT-symmetry is no inviolable. Recent studies of neutrinos suggest that it is possible that neutrinos and anti-neutrinos have slightly different masses. If so, this would be evidence of CPT-symmetry violation. All of this is to say that I think the cosmological case for the arrow of time is built upon some shaky ground (and I didn't even mention inflation). Heck, Sean Carroll himself addressed some of these issues at the last FQXi conference.

Now, to the c-frame issue. Obviously you are correct in saying the the c-frame itself is unattainable and, perhaps, unphysical in some regards (though clearly it is at least partly physical since light exists!). But the bigger point is that there *is* an objective ontology to relativistic frames. Otherwise, the Twin Paradox would really be a paradox. But it's not. The space-faring twin really is older --- they both agree on that when they meet again. Likewise, relativistic muons created in the upper atmosphere really do take longer to decay. And as two frames get closer and closer to c, they get more and more in agreement. That's the objectivity that I'm talking about that we all tend to ignore. If reality were completely subjective (relative), then the twins would each think the other was older.

This all goes back to that deep issue of time. While the laws of physics (mostly) seem to be time-symmetric, there's clearly a problem since we never see them run in reverse. If this is a purely cosmological problem, why is it that we never see, say, sub-atomic particles "un-decay?" Time is simply different. Relativity provides us with a convenient framework within which to treat time in a similar manner as space, but even *it* has a preferential arrow built into it --- allowing for complete time-symmetry in relativity produces logically absurd results. This is precisely because time is different in the metric --- it's sign is always opposite that of space. Incidentally, Lev Okun wrote an article about this very point a number of years ago but the cosmologists and many high-energy physicists still seem to cling to this notion that space and time are the same (and thus mass and energy also are the same), that the universe is really symmetric, that the Standard Model is correct, and that time-asymmetry is just an illusion perpetrated by cosmological expansion.

I hope that answers some of the points you have raised. If I missed responding to something, let me know.

Cheers,

Ian

P.S. It is thankfully much cooler today...

Hi Ian,

Yes, I think we're just about on the same page; at least I think we agree where we disagree.

> What you could be saying is that we do an "all-at-once" analysis of the universe and then as we learn more information about it (both past and future) we continue to do so and thus "update" our information. In this way the underlying universe remains essentially "static" while our knowledge of the universe possesses an arrow of sorts (since we are gaining information about it).

Yes! That's it precisely.

> Now, I'm not particularly familiar with Matt's notion of contextuality and I'll have to do some digging into it,

You'll have to email him directly... Nothing's written up yet, I don't think.

> but from my own notion of contextuality there's a problem: the universe does *not* remain static. In other words, it is not always possible to deduce *past* states from future ones. It would seem that your argument does not address this issue.

Alas, I guess I didn't write a good essay, because this was the #1 goal I was trying to accomplish, above all else.

I would hope though, that if I *was* able to successfully show that learning about a measurement setting would cause one to update the past in different ways for different settings (as I tried to do in my various examples), then one would have the *appearance* of contextuality, even if the past really was determined in some all-at-once sense.

> Now, regarding the time-asymmetry issue, I disagree with Carroll, Penrose, et. al. Rather, I agree with Eddington...

Yes, I knew your position of course... But it's important to state this outright when discussing time-symmetry; just because the asymmetries seem like common sense doesn't mean they're part of known physics. And while Eddington's challenge is possibly do-able, the difficulty is rather steep; not only does that viewpoint require that one show the current Carroll/Penrose/Greene/Price story is insufficient to explain observations, but it requires one to posit new physics that is (as far as I know) hypothetical and vague. So Eddington may have common sense on his side, but time-symmetry has pretty much all of modern theoretical physics on its side.

> If reality were completely subjective (relative), then the twins would each think the other was older.

But without acceleration, it *is* symmetrical; they *both* think the other is younger as they're moving apart. Until there is an acceleration and they come back to the same point (or at least to within a small-enough invariant spacetime interval), there is no objective fact of the matter as to which twin is really older.

> If this is a purely cosmological problem, why is it that we never see, say, sub-atomic particles "un-decay?"

The same logic as breaking-wineglasses applies here as well. Every process has its reverse. If there's one input and two outputs, the reverse simply requires a bit more coordination to bring two inputs together at the right place and time (as we can only control the inputs). Three-output decays, and reversing it gets quite tricky indeed. There's also the issue that decays which produce net energy require net input energy to occur in reverse; still do-able, but not nearly as likely (at least not without a low-entropy final boundary condition).

I guess I don't understand how the different sign in the metric implies some new *asymmetry* in your mind. Sure, space and time are a bit different, but... *that* different? One is symmetric and one is not? Surely such an asymmetry would show up in Mawxell's equations or Einstein's equation? What about my earlier argument that in different reference frames this would imply that *space* inherits the time-asymmetry?

Maybe we should move this to email, if you want... Let me know!

Ken

Hi Ken and Ian,

Thanks for keeping this discussion going. And Ian, I'm glad to see that I wasn't mis-representing your point of view, and that we're in agreement.

First of all, I just want to ask you guys once more to look at the post I left above, on Jul. 10, 2013 @ 23:39 GMT. In relation to Ken's point about the arrow of time--i.e.

"All I'm trying to say about the arrow of time is that we shouldn't say anything about it that we shouldn't say about the arrow of space *given known symmetries*. There are no accepted physical theories that allows a process to occur in the +x direction that could not also occur in the -x direction, and the same is true for +t and -t."

--that derivation presents a clear case in which he's completely, unmistakably right.

Now, in response to Ken's comments for me: thank you very much for posting them, and taking up the challenge in the spirit that it's intended--i.e., seriously, and in good faith. In that sense, "them were fightin' words" indeed. I'm not able to respond properly right now, because I'm just heading out to a metaphysics of time workshop in (breathtakingly beautiful) Lausanne, but I wanted to let you know that I have seen your post, and I'm really looking forward to keeping up the discussion.

Two things I will say: I'm very glad to see that we're in full agreement on the dimensionality of the growing block model--it's unmistakably 5D; and I agree that the DVD contains 3D data. On the latter point, my argument isn't that the data are "really 4D", any more than de Sitter space (see the post I mentioned) is "really 5D". I'll do a better job of explaining myself later, now that I have your argument to work with. Indeed, I do think the right conceptual framework has been missed in philosophy of time. Today, I'm going to look to either be shown that it hasn't, or to see which points in particular I need to address in order to clarify.

Best regards,

Daryl

Outstanding: A beautiful description of the independence fallacy. This is an excellent way to describe why slices in Minkowski space are profoundly unreal, and lead to inconsistent statistics in the "information record" of Bell states and other quantum experiments.

My favorite quote from the paper "But if one updates the past probabilities upon learning which measurement a system will encounter, the premises behind those theorems are explicitly violated."

It appears, however, to be incomplete in one aspect, it needs a more distinguished understanding of what "dynamical evolution" means. I suspect the "dynamical evolution" aspect you are trying to stay away from is the "monotonic, irreversible flow of time".

I have not yet read your other papers in the references, as soon as I get through this huge volume of FQXi material, I will be sure to go back and read all your papers. I really enjoyed this one, these are excellent ideas, and your writing style is very high quality.

I would differ with you in your description of the double slit experiment, where you talk of photons "not landing in the dark fringes". I assert that they do indeed "land" in the dark fringes, but they are "entangled" -- the photons are trapped between the emitter and detector bouncing back and forth in a timeless fashion. Entangled systems are DARK (from both an emission and an absorption perspective) [Ref: http://fqxi.org/community/forum/topic/1897 ]

    Hi Ken,

    Please excuse me if I don't address points in the exchange you've had with Ian. I want to be as brief as possible in response to what you wrote to me. I do, however, need to provide some context for my criticism of your view.

    My greater claim is that all accounts of any sense of temporal passage that I've read in my physicist's survey of the philosophy literature are abominations. They're no better (and maybe even worse because they're so explicitly wrong) than the physicist's foggy conception of temporal passage. All is a mess. And I think "subjective updating" falls right into this catagory. (Strong claim--and fightin' words indeed--so please allow me to explain. The upshot will be that you'll either see an error in a view that you support, that you weren't aware of before, or, by understanding my point, you'll be able to explain to me how subjective updating doesn't fall into this category).

    More specifically, I claim that all accounts (that I've read or heard) of the presentist viewpoint, whether in favour or against it, make a very specific (and often explicit) error, which has confused the issue to the point that I do feel justified in calling these accounts "abominations". Because of this error, many--and then in light of relativity, many more--have committed what I'll call the Abortionist Fallacy (meant in the more general sense of "a failure to develop to completion or maturity") of arguing *from those erroneous descriptions* that presentism is false. In fact, the usual claim is that temporal passage is not as we commonly think of it--the most famous example being perhaps McTaggart's argument for the unreality of time.

    Before I get to my main point, which is very simple, please let me explain what I mean by "Abortionist Fallacy". Consider the following (which I claim to be true): The purpose, or grand aim, of thought experiments, should be to make perfect sense of things that are not intuitively obvious to begin with (cf. Galileo's boat experiment). If this statement is true, then due to his prior definition of simultaneity, Einstein committed the Abortionist Fallacy when conducting his special relativistic thought experiments, from which he inferred the relativity of simultaneity, and therefore simply aborted the sensible notion of objective passage (cf. my first post above).

    So, now: what's the one thing that's wrong with all attempts to describe temporal passage? It's simply the all-too-common idea that events (the things that happen, occur, take place, etc., which make up space-time) *exist*.

    The error occurs whenever verbs are used to describe events. This is because all verbs--and particularly the copular verb 'is', 'will be', 'was', etc.--smuggle a sense of temporal passage into the mix because every last one of them has existential meaning. People are already dead wrong when they say, for instance, "look at this worldline, with a few points (t_1, t_2, t_3, etc.) labelled on it. The fact of the matter, in the presentist view, is that *at* t_1, only t_1 exists; at t_2, only t_2 exists, and t_1 no longer exists. The reductionist, or minimalist viewpoint--and what follows from McTaggart's argument--is that all t exists; i.e. the object represented by the worldline has temporal parts; etc."

    I'm claiming that "exists" in the first and second sentence, as well as "has" in the second sentence, are completely wrong words to use, which totally confuse the meaning.

    People might refer to events at certain times as being "real" or "Real", in a sweeping spotlight sort of way (the past is "real" in some sense, because I can talk about it, etc.). But the thing that actually matters isn't the big "R"/little "r" distinction. The thing that actually matters is the use of "being", which carries existential meaning.

    The reason is simple: in a Newtonian conception of reality (my previous essay shows that relativity presents no real problem either, as long as "simultaneous" isn't mis-defined a la Einstein), how many dimensions are there in the physical description of "this chair exists here?" Since the chair's a 3D object, I hope your answer is "4D" (otherwise we've got an even bigger issue; cf. quote from Einstein's autobiography, above). Similarly, when we say "t_1 exists" or "all t exists" or "an object has temporal parts", or "an observer's subjective knowledge updates", we smuggle in a further dimension.

    Just as "the existence of a 3D block" requires a fourth dimension in the physical description (even if the block doesn't change, still "while changing it exists"--Heraclitus), or the "existence" of an event needs 1D in order for the event to be described as something that exists, so the idea of events in 4D space-time as "existing" requires a 5D description. In essence, when we say (or think) "Jan 10, 1982, 1:26:32 exists", we think of the 3D world on Jan 10, 1982, at 1:26:32, as *existing* (i.e., when we say "is", "was", etc., we impose another dimension in the conception of that *instant*). The dimension in which events are described to "exist" is a hyper-time dimension, above and beyond the time-dimension describing the 3D universe's existence.

    No one in their right mind has every supported this view outright (except maybe science fiction writers and growing block supporters like Ellis--although there's an argument that he's therefore perhaps *not* in his right mind), yet what I'm claiming is that when people assume a "third person"-view of eternity, a "view from no-when", a "God's eye-view", there is an overwhelming tendency to think that "God", the "third person", *exists*. Then the confusion sets in. Greene very explicitly describes the frozen block as something that exists, for example, patently assuming this hyper-time-dimension.

    Now, how does this ubiquitous error factor into our debate? Basically, when you think that something subjectively updates their knowledge of the block, I'm saying you can't but assume such a hyper-time dimension. If everything really is singularly on par, you simply can't get this updating of knowledge within the block, any more than a fish can swim a distance through water, or electricity can flow through a wire, in an *instant*. In the sense of this hyper-time, the entire block has to be instantaneous, and therefore perceptions of it can't crawl along it and update.

    When you describe reality as all of eternity, all four dimensions of the physical description of events that occur in reality, *at-once*, assuming a "God's eye view" of all the events that occur, you simply can't turn around and claim that your "God" exists *without adding the metaphysical structure associated with that*.

    Parsimony is supposed to favour the block universe view of reality, which doesn't assume the extra structure of "3D space that exists"--i.e. a foliation--but what I'm saying is that "blockers" really don't have the more parsimoneous theory anyway. In fact, the view that all of space-time exists (Greene's view, etc.) assumes the same amount of structure in the sense that it assumes that something (of any dimension) *exists*; but because the thing it assumes exists actually has one higher dimension, it actually assumes *way more* structure. That's argument 1 against the "Humean minimalist" view--i.e., it's not actually minimalist at all.

    Argument 2 is that the structure in the "anti-reductionist" view that "minimalists" want to do away with--viz. the foliation of space-time--is actually supported by cosmology anyway, so it's really a non-issue in the first place, if you take empirical evidence to be the supreme arbiter.

    That's pretty much my argument in a nutshell. I don't think I'm committing any of the errors that you mention, but simply saying that I don't think you can get what you want to get without committing them yourself. I'm ready to listen, though, if you think you can get out of argument 1. Then, even still, I think I win by argument 2, since empirical evidence is supposed to trump all. In order to argue against me there, you'll have to overturn a whole area of physics--but still, I am willing (eager, in fact) to listen.

    Best,

    Daryl

    Dear All,

    It is with utmost joy and love that I give you all the cosmological iSeries which spans the entire numerical spectrum from -infinity through 0 to +infinity and the simple principle underlying it is sum of any two consecutive numbers is the next number in the series. 0 is the base seed and i can be any seed between 0 and infinity.

    iSeries always yields two sub semi series, each of which has 0 as a base seed and 2i as the first seed.

    One of the sub series is always defined by the equation

    Sn = 2 * Sn-1 + Sigma (i=2 to n) Sn-i

    where S0 = 0 and S1 = 2 * i

    the second sub series is always defined by the equation

    Sn = 3 * Sn-1 -Sn-2

    where S0 = 0 and S1 = 2 * i

    Division of consecutive numbers in each of these subseries always eventually converges on 2.168 which is the Square of 1.618.

    Union of these series always yields another series which is just a new iSeries of a 2i first seed and can be defined by the universal equation

    Sn = Sn-1 + Sn-2

    where S0 = 0 and S1 = 2*i

    Division of consecutive numbers in the merged series always eventually converges on 1.618 which happens to be the golden ratio "Phi".

    Fibonacci series is just a subset of the iSeries where the first seed or S1 =1.

    Examples

    starting iSeries governed by Sn = Sn-1 + Sn-2

    where i = 0.5, S0 = 0 and S1 = 0.5

    -27.5 17 -10.5 6.5 -4 2.5 -1.5 1 -.5 .5 0 .5 .5 1 1.5 2.5 4 6.5 10.5 17 27.5

    Sub series governed by Sn = 2 * Sn-1 + Sigma (i=2 to n) Sn-i

    where S0 = 0 and S1 = 2i = 1

    0 1 2 5 13 34 ...

    Sub series governed by Sn = 3 * Sn-1 - Sn-2

    where S0 = 0 and S1 = 2i = 1

    0 1 3 8 21 55 ...

    Merged series governed by Sn = Sn-1 + Sn-2 where S0 = 0 and S1 = 2i = 1

    0 1 1 2 3 5 8 13 21 34 55 ...... (Fibonacci series is a subset of iSeries)

    The above equations hold true for any value of i, again confirming the singularity of i.

    As per Antony Ryan's suggestion, a fellow author in this contest, I searched google to see how Fibonacci type series can be used to explain Quantum Mechanics and General Relativity and found an interesting article.

    d-super.pdf"> The-Fibonacci-code-behind-superstring-theory](https://msel-naschie.com/pdf/The-Fibonacci-code-behin

    d-super.pdf)

    Now that I split the Fibonacci series in to two semi series, seems like each of the sub semi series corresponds to QM and GR and together they explain the Quantum Gravity. Seems like this duality is a commonality in nature once relativity takes effect or a series is kicked off. I can draw and analogy and say that this dual series with in the "iSeries" is like the double helix of our DNA. The only commonality between the two series is at the base seed 0 and first seed 1, which are the bits in our binary system.

    I have put forth the absolute truth in the Theory of everything that universe is an "iSphere" and we humans are capable of perceiving the 4 dimensional 3Sphere aspect of the universe and described it with an equation of S=BM^2.

    I have also conveyed the absolute mathematical truth of zero = I = infinity and proved the same using the newly found "iSeries" which is a super set of Fibonacci series.

    All this started with a simple question, who am I?

    I am drawn out of my self or singularity or i in to existence.

    I super positioned my self or I to be me.

    I am one of our kind, I is every one of all kinds.

    I am Fibonacci series in iSeries

    I am phi in zero = I = infinity

    I am 3Sphere in iSphere

    I am pi in zero = I = infinity

    I am human and I is GOD (Generator Organizer Destroyer).

    Love,

    Sridattadev.

    Whoa whoa whoa...

    You're still holding up *acceleration* as the resolution to the twins paradox? It's a mathematically ill-posed problem. They *simply can't* come back together unless one of them hops from one inertial frame to another. One of them simply has to do that--and the one who does *really* returns the younger of the two. The problem derives from SR, and is resolved within SR as well.

    Schutz' description in his intro GR textbook explains this very well.

    But also, think of the acceleration argument this way: conduct the experiment with triplets, and picture from the frame of reference of the one who sits on Earth. The third triplet stays back awhile longer, but does eventually decide to quickly fly to the moon and back. When they all meet up in the end, he has been "accelerated" as much as the triplet who went on the longer journey, but he has aged more.

    In fact, even if he took ten short trips, but mostly stayed home, so that he was "accelerated" more than the other triplet, he's still going to be older in the end.

    This argument against the claim that acceleration resolves the paradox is (roughly) Tim Maudlin's.

    Daryl

    Dear Ken,

    Very interesting essay.

    Am I wrong if I say that your idea is in the same line that

    http://arxiv.org/abs/1201.5590

    I red your paper several times to grasp the idea and its consequences.

    If I understand correctly, having a 4D relativistic viewpoint, one could reject many arguments in favour of the 'it from bit' perspective, including quantum contextuality? Or may be these arguments claim in favour of a a reintroduction of space-time thinking?

    My point is about the underlying structure of observables and you may have interest in reading and rating it.

    http://fqxi.org/community/forum/topic/1789

    Good luck,

    Michel

      Ken---

      Superb job, one of a few essays I consider the very best I've read so far. I'll comment more on points of agreement later, but for now just want to record the way in which I'm engaged with these sorts of ideas, in part through your work and Huw Price's, in part through Matthew Leifer and Rob Spekkens, in part just from my own thinking. I tend to agree that the Bell correlations needn't worry one so much ... the absence of a "story" allowing one to get rid of them by conditioning on stuff in the intersection of the past light cones of the correlated events doesn't upset me. I am attracted to trying to understand this through a more "instrumentalist" account of what quantum theory does for us than the one you are suggesting for in this essay, but I tend to think that in the end the "instrumentalist" and "realist" approaches to "How to stop worrying and learn to love quantum correlations" (as I am thinking of titling a paper on the subject...) end up with something like the histories formulation. I'm not sure how the "no-dynamics" approach fits in... I tend to view any constraints between the events that comprise possible histories, as "substantive physics" and not care so much whether it's called "kinematics" or "dynamics". (I still need to read Rob Spekkens' winning essay from last year on exactly that subject...) And I see that you end up with a histories picture too. I view both an instrumentalist histories approach, and a micro-histories approach, as realist---just realist about different things. The thing I worry about is that *both* approaches may be committed to some level of "decoherence" arising from choosing a particular set of histories. It's the question of "what's the ontology". Even if it's a micro-ontology, it may generate decoherence. Now, maybe that's more likely on "standard" histories stories in which the "events" about which histories concern themselves are statements like "the particle is in this phase space cell" (or possible fuzzified, continuum versions that are more sophisticated...). Whereas the more sophisticated "microrealists" who wish to abandon Bell-like causality restrictions without worries, may have in mind more exotic kinds of "underlying reality", including, as Terry Rudolph likes to say, a reality that is not described in spacetime terms at all. Although it seems to me you may not want to go there! But then I wonder about getting the theory to avoid decoherence at a level that might be refuted by observation.

      Possibly related is a certain similarity in my mind, which others in this thread (and elsehwere) have also drawn attention to, between "retrocausal" and "conspiratorial" explanations. I realize you have said they're not similar. But I'm not so sure. In situations like your description the two-slit experiment, the "retrocausal" influence seems to be coming from the different final measurement apparatus. Not sure how you would deal with a "which-way" measurement very near the slits (I guess you could put lenses there, too). But this seems almost as conspiratorial... the thing is that whatever determines some big macroconfiguration, determines the possible histories. And surely we *do* think we can predict, with high probability, that macroconfiguration from stuff in its past light cone... There is probably something I'm not understanding here, different in your explanation than in the conspiratorial one. It is likely in *just exactly what* the macronconfiguration is affecting: putting a different, and somehow less objectionable, kind of constraint on the set of histories in your case than in the conspiracy case. But I'd love to see an explanation of this that is as clear as what you've written on other points in this paper.

      Just to be clear, again, this is not intended as criticism... just as a reaction. You wrote a paper that made me go back to what I've been thinking on these issues, and think about it some more... which is another sign of a good paper. Again, outstanding!

      Cheers,

      Howard

        Hi Daryl,

        Aha! I think I finally understand what you're saying here, and it is indeed a good point. I've probably been too cavalier with mixing up the interface between the updating-story and the view-from-nowhen story. Here's a more careful version; let me know what you think.

        I'm a 3D agent, extended in time; my 3D mental states are different at different times.

        But I'm smart 3D agent; smart enough to imagine the 4D universe via the view-from-nowhen. (I can imagine stacking up 3D instants to form a 4D block.)

        But I'm an ignorant agent. I don't know the future, and I don't know everything about the past. So at any given moment, when my 3D self constructs such a 4D block, it's incomplete, filled with guesswork and probability.

        But I'm not *just* a 3D agent; I'm a series of 3D agents, and some of my later 3D selves aren't quite as ignorant as my earlier 3D selves. So the 4D block constructed by those later selves is more complete.

        This constitutes updating. The updating is performed by a 3D agent over time, but the construction that is being updated is a 4D block. Each updated version is supposed to represent the same, single, *actual* 4D block of the universe, although of course no version even comes close.

        Any better?

        Ken

        PS; I was using 'acceleration' as shorthand for hopping between inertial frames; we're on the same page there, and indeed I explain the twin paradox to my Modern Physics students in entirely SR-terms using such infinite-acceleration 'hops'.

        Hi Antony,

        Thanks for the nice comments! I haven't thought much about black holes lately, but was just informed today how I might apply some of my ideas in that context, so maybe that will get put on the research list. I'll try to get to your essay as well.

        Best,

        Ken

        Hi Paul,

        Thanks! But I'm not sure I'd go so far as to say that 3D slices are "unreal", just incomplete. (After all, a 2D slice of a chair is certainly not "unreal", is it?)

        You're absolutely right that I need a better description of what I mean by "dynamical evolution"; I probably neglected this because it was the main thrust of last year's essay entry, "The Universe is Not a Computer". So I'd recommend putting that on the top of the pile before tackling anything else.

        Your phrase "bouncing back and forth in a timeless fashion" reminds me of how I used to think about retrocausal stories before I settled on the block universe as the only safe framework for coming to careful conclusions about such things. So I'd recommend putting Huw Price's book, "Time's Arrow and Archimedes' Point" on your list, which was the book that clarified many of these issues for me, and pointed me in some promising directions.

        Best,

        Ken

        Hi Michel,

        I'm glad you found it interesting. I didn't notice any obvious connections to that arXiv paper you mentioned, I'm afraid.

        I'm not sure if my arguments allows one to "reject many arguments in favour of the 'it from bit' perspective", so much as attacks their key premise that there is no possible "it" in the first place.

        And as far as contextuality goes, the story is complicated... You might read my exchange with Ian Durham on the issue, above.

        Best,

        Ken

        Thanks, Howard!

        High praise indeed... I was quite pleased to see (from your own essay, which I need to comment on, still!) that you've been grappling with the spacetime implications of the operationalist viewpoint. So I'll count the essay as a success if I can keep you thinking in those terms for a bit longer... :-)

        I do think that reading Rob's essay from last year would be useful, but you might try my last year's essay as well. Rob's point -- that it's not so crucial whether one encodes the physics into the kinematics or the dynamics -- is perfectly fine *whenever there is such a dual interpretation available*. The fact that you can always seem to go back and forth for certain classes of theories is certainly interesting. But my point was (and is) that there are some classes of kinematics-only theories that *have* no dynamical version. (Or at least, if there is one, it's nonMarkovian and crazy-looking.)

        Take the toy model in this essay, here. How would you couch the 5:4 vs 25:16 probabilities in dynamical language? I don't see any way that it could be done. And if I'm right about the parallel to the double slit experiment, then it's crucial to quantum foundations that one takes care to consider such kinematics-only stories that have no dynamical counterpart.

        I wonder if your worries about a history-based story leading to decoherence are related to this point, in that getting rid of dynamics would avoid the problem. Certainly I would think the future-boundary conditions would help as well, so long as it's that boundary (the future measurement settings) that are effectively selecting out a particular set of histories to be overwhelmingly probable. (For an example of how this might work in practice, see IV.C of 1301.7012.)

        As far as retrocausality vs. superdeterminism, I agree that they're similar in that they're both ways to break the Independence Fallacy... But I think that at any other level, the only way to confuse them is if one starts out thinking in retrocausal terms and then lapses back into forward-causal thinking. For example, in the retrocausal story, a future measurement setting M is naturally correlated with a past hidden variable L. But if you grant such a correlation, and then lapse back into forward-causal thinking, in cases where L clearly doesn't cause M you would come to the Reichenbach-conclusion that both L and M must be conspiratorily linked via some even further-past hidden variable. In the retrocausal story, no other variables are required.

        For example, in my toy model, one *could* explain the story by linking the decision of the agent who selects the geometry (2A or 2B) to the hidden variables in the system, via some conspiracy, but it's so far from the stated explanation that it hardly seems possible to confuse those two options.

        > And surely we *do* think we can predict, with high probability, that macroconfiguration from stuff in its past light cone...

        The two answers here are that 1) "being able to predict in principle" and "being correlated in a specific, reproducible way" are two wildly different things, and 2) No, I don't think we can predict such configurations in general, even from a complete accounting of past HVs, because I've given up on the causal-determinism of dynamical equations. (Including stochastic equations.)

        I realize that 2) may seem like a fairly drastic step to take, but I think my last year's essay provides a reasonably solid motivation for at least considering the possibility.

        Thanks again for the kind words!

        Ken

        Hi Ken,

        I finally got to your essay and gave it the best mark.

        One minor criticism. A definition of dynamics would have helped less sophisticated readers like myself.

        I invite you to visit my essay and see how I "give up dynamics", If you visit please be critical..... There is too much agreement around here.

        Thanks,

        Don Limuti

          Dear Ken,

          This is miles better!

          First of all, I'm glad that you don't think acceleration resolves the twins paradox. But I do wonder why you would use 'acceleration' rather than saying something like 'the boosted twin', especially since acceleration has been wrongly thought by many to resolve the paradox.

          But now to important stuff. I was talking with someone yesterday about my concerns with using verbs to describe space-time points, events, all of space-time, etc. What I learned was that a B-theorist uses the word "exist" non-existentially. Personally, I consider it nonsense to use language that doesn't actually apply to things by redefining words in such a convoluted way. Moreover, I think it leads to a lot of confusion, especially because it's so hard to not fall into the trap of thinking of these non-existential things that 'exist' as *existing*. (As an example, when you read what you wrote, don't you find it hard to not think of a *static* block? I think it's really hard to think of the block as a temporally singular, non-existential thing. I honestly can't make sense of "a thing that doesn't exist." Then I also have a tough time not thinking of existence *and* motion along the block when you write "updating is performed by a 3D agent over time"). And finally, I think if what's being proposed is so nonsensical that it can't even be properly described because the language comes to mean something else entirely, that's a pretty good indicator that it really is just nonsense.

          So what's my point: I do understand what you've written here, insofar as every time you say "I'm" you're really speaking non-existentially about what you "are". I'm actually pretty okay with the description until the last paragraph, because I don't think you're being too cavalier with your use of non-existential verbs until that point. But in the last paragraph, I think you're getting a bit carried away when you use three in a row ("updating is performed") in a way that tends to give the impression that you're not only talking of the block as something that 'exists' but doesn't really exist, but also of a sequence of updates that move up the world line.

          Alternatively, you could say (with the use of single quotation marks to indicate non-existential use of verbs) "The whole 4D block 'exists'. My world-line 'exists' in it. At each point along my world-line, I 'have' some knowledge of the entire 4D block; i.e., as I may 'know' something about past, present, and future events at each point of my world-line. At 'later' times, my knowledge of the block is more complete than at 'earlier' times." (I know "earlier" and "later" are adjectives, but I think it's good to still use the single quotes there). Maybe you could sum that up by saying, "one's incomplete knowledge of the 4D block 'is' a monotonically increasing function of one's worldline, where at each point along the worldline, that incomplete knowledge 'is' 4D".

          I think we're now on the same wavelength about what you want to describe, and I think the description of 'subjective updating', if stated carefully in this way, making sure to note the non-existential meaning of 'exist', etc., is about the best you can do. But then I simply have to wonder why you want it to be that way anyway. One reason, from our discussion above, might be that you don't like quantum non-locality. But I have a tough time seeing how a fear of existence in a world in which magic happens, can lead one to want to 'live' in a world where one doesn't actually *live* at all; where one doesn't actually *exist*. I think it's better to try to sort out our problems than just give in to unrealistic implications--and I honestly think a realistic version of quantum theory, or really quantum gravity, will come about after we've taken the more immediately necessary step of properly interpreting and understanding relativity.

          I guess that brings the discussion back to the one we were having above. Would it be at all possible to take that up again now? I think I've shown an ability to really understand this position that I think needs to be rejected, being very open to thoughtful consideration of its meaning and implications. I think you'll find if you do read what I wrote there, that I've given the same thoughtful consideration in coming to my own position on the matter.

          One more thing I wanted to say before I quit, in relation to the point you made early on about symmetry, is this: last night at the summer school on physics and philosophy of time that I'm attending, Stephan Hartmann gave a talk about the No-Alternatives Argument, which basically runs as, "Physicists have identified certain constraints, C, and have a set of data, D, that they want to use to construct a quantum gravity. To date, only string theory seems to meet all of C and D. Given the amount of effort that's been put into the construction of an alternative, we can be optimistic to some extent that there reall are no alternatives." The "some extent" is evaluated using Bayesian analysis.

          My objection to this entire line of reasoning comes in at the very beginning. It's true that having identified C, the usual goal is to try to construct a theory that adds C explicitly into the framework. But we know of cases in history, where ideas have been rejected for a long time just because they were naively thought to be at-odds with some constraint or other that people thought necessary to hold onto. For instance, given a butterfly's ability to easily flutter about, or even the fact that the Earth retains its atmosphere, people felt quite strongly for a long time that the Earth has to be fixed at the centre of the solar system, and this constraint was violently held onto (e.g., Bruno). But then Galileo showed (with a simple thought experiment that didn't even need to be conducted) that butterflies can flutter around just as well in the cabin of a ship, as they can when it's back at harbour, and it was realised that this constraint wasn't necessary to the realisation of the data, and the Solar System could, for all that constraint had mattered, be heliocentric. In light of what I've written about symmetry above, I would like you to consider that perhaps the standard symmetry constraint of modern physics maybe is being made too explicitly, for all the observed symmetries that must be reconciled.

          Cheers,

          Daryl

          Dr. Wharton

          Richard Feynman in his Nobel Acceptance Speech (http://www.nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/physics/laureates/1965/feynman-lecture.html)

          said: "It always seems odd to me that the fundamental laws of physics, when discovered, can appear in so many different forms that are not apparently identical at first, but with a little mathematical fiddling you can show the relationship. And example of this is the Schrodinger equation and the Heisenberg formulation of quantum mechanics. I don't know why that is - it remains a mystery, but it was something I learned from experience. There is always another way to say the same thing that doesn't look at all like the way you said it before. I don't know what the reason for this is. I think it is somehow a representation of the simplicity of nature."

          I too believe in the simplicity of nature, and I am glad that Richard Feynman, a Nobel-winning famous physicist, also believe in the same thing I do, but I had come to my belief long before I knew about that particular statement.

          The belief that "Nature is simple" is however being expressed differently in my essay "Analogical Engine" linked to http://fqxi.org/community/forum/topic/1865 .

          Specifically though, I said "Planck constant is the Mother of All Dualities" and I put it schematically as: wave-particle ~ quantum-classical ~ gene-protein ~ analogy- reasoning ~ linear-nonlinear ~ connected-notconnected ~ computable-notcomputable ~ mind-body ~ Bit-It ~ variation-selection ~ freedom-determinism ... and so on.

          Taken two at a time, it can be read as "what quantum is to classical" is similar to (~) "what wave is to particle." You can choose any two from among the multitudes that can be found in our discourses.

          I could have put Schrodinger wave ontology-Heisenberg particle ontology duality in the list had it comes to my mind!

          Since "Nature is Analogical", we are free to probe nature in so many different ways. And you have touched some corners of it.

          With regards,

          Than Tin

          Hi Daryl,

          I'm glad we're coming to some agreement... And yes, it's not exactly fair to deny the use of the verb "to be" to B-theorists by insisting on an A-theory definition! (There's a "Be-theorist" joke in there somewhere...) I'll encourage you go re-read some of that piece by Price with this fact in mind.

          > As an example, when you read what you wrote, don't you find it hard to not think of a *static* block? I think it's really hard to think of the block as a temporally singular, non-existential thing. I honestly can't make sense of "a thing that doesn't exist." Then I also have a tough time not thinking of existence *and* motion along the block when you write "updating is performed by a 3D agent over time"

          I *try* to think of a static block, because my innate-but-wrong time intuitions are too strong to fight any other way (you'll best be able to fight your "motion" intuitions in exactly this manner). The DVD example is useful, but perhaps not going to help you. Maybe the idea of a 4D block in the mind of a 3D person may help, although this 4D block isn't real in the same way that the actual universe is. What it really comes down to is that you don't *need* to think of the block as temporally singular; after all, it's not, any more than a full description of the universe written on a blackboard is spatially singular. (One needs different language to talk about the representation vs. the actual; perhaps where we're getting into all of our linguistic problems.)

          > But then I simply have to wonder why you want it to be that way anyway.

          What I "want" has nothing to do with it. That's what relativity tells us. Sure, I can go down your road of denying certain features of relativity, but "why do you want it to be that way anyway?" :-)

          Your last point about starting from bad premises is right on target with me -- after all, that was the topic of last year's contest, and I effectively wrote about this very issue. But this point is *only* salient if most people are indeed making the wrong assumption. So when I look around at quantum physics and see that 99.9% percent of theories are assuming a dynamical framework, and 0.01% are analyzing histories 'all at once', I don't see myself on the side of a widespread but wrong assumption. Physicists implicitly break time-symmetry in their ontology all the time, often without even realizing it. I happen to think it's the common-sense, A-theory side of things that's the impediment to progress, precisely because it's far too easy to fall into that style of reasoning without thinking it through carefully.

          Okay, I'm running out of time (ha) before I'm off to a conference, but I'll head back up to that first comment on simultaneity and see if I can say anything useful.

          Best,

          Ken

          Thanks, Don! I'll try to get to yours as well; I see it's very highly ranked.

          Yes, I definitely should have gone more into the definition of "dynamics", but perhaps was overly shy of rehashing last year's essay.

          Too much agreement...? See above. :-)

          Best,

          Ken

          > I'd ask how it is that that *doesn't* appear to be inherent in the phenomena? I mean, if all the information we ever receive is *always* about events that occurred in the past, and that is about phenomena that never appear to be influenced by future events, then how does a past-future asymmetry *not* appear to be inherent in the phenomena?

          Because every microscopic process is time-reversable. (read: time->CPT for precision.) You're talking about macroscopic arrows, which can be traced to low-entropy cosmological boundary conditions, not asymmetric laws. If you ask me what breaks the symmetry of the boundary conditions, I'll answer that we're now asking the same questions, and on some days I'll start speculating if perhaps they're not broken after all. (As for our knowledge about the past, consider what we would know about the future EM field if our eyes were actually atomic-recoil detectors, detecting their own emissions instead of absorptions.)

          If there is a cosmic rest frame defined by distant events, then this view is somewhat nonlocal, right from the start. And it would seem to be rather convoluted to keep maintaining this rest frame near black holes. I'll note without comment that your "common sense" examples seem to be posed in the Earth's frame, not this cosmic rest frame.

          I'm not sure the rest of your comments can be better addressed than via what I've already said, above and below. (You start getting into this "exists" business above, which we're coming into some agreement on below.)

          Finally, I will caution you that I recently learned there is a term "time snob" as applied to A-theorists who believe that only *they* take time seriously, and who believe that B-theorists don't take time seriously. So don't be a time-snob. Or an existence-snob. :-)

          Thanks again for all your careful thoughts on the subject, and I hope we will continue to agree to disagree, if only to encourage us both to be as precise and careful as possible.

          All the best,

          Ken